{
  "schema_version": "jp-election-municipality-proportional-swing-graph.v1",
  "dataset_id": "jp-election-db.derived-shape.graph",
  "family": "graph",
  "dataset": "municipality-proportional-swing-2025-2026",
  "source_release_version": "2026-05-03-v050",
  "selector": {
    "prefecture_code": "46",
    "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
    "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
    "party_id": "CDR_TJU",
    "party_label": "中道+ゆうこく（2025=公明+立憲）",
    "party_label_en": "Centrist + Yukoku bloc (2025=Komeito+CDP)",
    "scope": "prefecture",
    "ranking_id": "",
    "ranking_label": "",
    "ranking_label_en": ""
  },
  "comparison": {
    "comparison_key": "20250720_hc_pr__20260208_hr_block",
    "baseline_election_set_key": "20250720_hc",
    "baseline_election_date": "2025-07-20",
    "baseline_vote_system": "pr",
    "target_election_set_key": "20260208_hr",
    "target_election_date": "2026-02-08",
    "target_vote_system": "block"
  },
  "metric": {
    "primary_metric_id": "votes_change_rate_pct",
    "primary_metric_label": "票数増減率",
    "secondary_metric_id": "votes_delta",
    "secondary_metric_label": "票数差"
  },
  "summary": {
    "point_grain": "municipality",
    "point_count": 43,
    "municipality_count": 43,
    "min_votes_change_rate_pct": -33.673469,
    "max_votes_change_rate_pct": 25.095721
  },
  "municipalities": [
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "463922",
      "municipality_name": "さつま町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Satsuma-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1842.589,
      "target_votes": 2305.0,
      "votes_delta": 462.411,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 25.095721,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.354926,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.515609,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 4.160683
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "462152",
      "municipality_name": "薩摩川内市第2",
      "municipality_name_en": "Satsumasendai-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 8509.433,
      "target_votes": 9962.0,
      "votes_delta": 1452.567,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 17.07008,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.733796,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.772467,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 3.038671
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "462195",
      "municipality_name": "いちき串木野市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ichikikushikino-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2747.208,
      "target_votes": 3075.0,
      "votes_delta": 327.792,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 11.931823,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.519944,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.973605,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.453661
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "464040",
      "municipality_name": "長島町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nagashima-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 963.25,
      "target_votes": 1055.0,
      "votes_delta": 91.75,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 9.525045,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.914264,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.332967,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.418703
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "463035",
      "municipality_name": "三島村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Mishima-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 38.833,
      "target_votes": 42.0,
      "votes_delta": 3.167,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 8.155435,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.978241,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.289855,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.311614
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "462160",
      "municipality_name": "日置市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Hioki-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 4804.092,
      "target_votes": 5168.0,
      "votes_delta": 363.908,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 7.574959,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.882077,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.958092,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.076015
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "462241",
      "municipality_name": "伊佐市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Isa-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2822.043,
      "target_votes": 3026.0,
      "votes_delta": 203.957,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 7.227282,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.102677,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.194599,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.091922
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "462080",
      "municipality_name": "出水市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Izumi-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 4643.968,
      "target_votes": 4971.0,
      "votes_delta": 327.032,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 7.042081,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.579931,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.125324,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.545393
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "462063",
      "municipality_name": "阿久根市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Akune-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1857.651,
      "target_votes": 1980.0,
      "votes_delta": 122.349,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 6.586221,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.837364,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.500706,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.663342
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "462250",
      "municipality_name": "姶良市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Aira-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 8221.537,
      "target_votes": 8638.0,
      "votes_delta": 416.463,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 5.065513,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.901856,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.442886,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.54103
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "464520",
      "municipality_name": "湧水町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yusui-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1039.13,
      "target_votes": 1063.0,
      "votes_delta": 23.87,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 2.297114,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.764776,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.930662,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.834114
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "462233",
      "municipality_name": "南九州市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Minamikyusyu-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2435.554,
      "target_votes": 2357.0,
      "votes_delta": -78.554,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -3.225303,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.643118,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.334026,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.309092
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "462047",
      "municipality_name": "枕崎市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Makurazaki-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1554.756,
      "target_votes": 1467.0,
      "votes_delta": -87.756,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -5.644358,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.116476,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.495527,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.620949
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "465020",
      "municipality_name": "南種子町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Minamitane-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 553.077,
      "target_votes": 484.0,
      "votes_delta": -69.077,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -12.489581,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.469171,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.498192,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.970979
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "462209",
      "municipality_name": "南さつま市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Minamisatsuma-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2849.556,
      "target_votes": 2479.0,
      "votes_delta": -370.556,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -13.003991,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.155392,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.347795,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.807597
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "465275",
      "municipality_name": "龍郷町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tatsugo-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 930.691,
      "target_votes": 801.0,
      "votes_delta": -129.691,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -13.934915,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 29.111386,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.493317,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.618069
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "465348",
      "municipality_name": "知名町",
      "municipality_name_en": "China-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 721.4,
      "target_votes": 613.0,
      "votes_delta": -108.4,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -15.026338,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.527247,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.433567,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.09368
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "462225",
      "municipality_name": "奄美市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Amami-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 5621.432,
      "target_votes": 4709.0,
      "votes_delta": -912.432,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -16.231309,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 28.736489,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.922983,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.813506
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "465330",
      "municipality_name": "和泊町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Wadomari-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 800.825,
      "target_votes": 668.0,
      "votes_delta": -132.825,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -16.586021,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.858089,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.642769,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -5.21532
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "462144",
      "municipality_name": "垂水市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tarumizu-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1556.573,
      "target_votes": 1296.0,
      "votes_delta": -260.573,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -16.740172,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.443672,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.762122,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.68155
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "462101",
      "municipality_name": "指宿市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ibusuki-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3575.242,
      "target_votes": 2969.0,
      "votes_delta": -606.242,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -16.95667,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.99009,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.813644,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.176446
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "465054",
      "municipality_name": "屋久島町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yakushima-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1448.866,
      "target_votes": 1199.0,
      "votes_delta": -249.866,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -17.245625,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.478626,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.298246,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.18038
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "464910",
      "municipality_name": "南大隅町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Minamiosumi-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 718.562,
      "target_votes": 594.0,
      "votes_delta": -124.562,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -17.334899,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.11232,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.186046,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.926274
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "462039",
      "municipality_name": "鹿屋市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kanoya-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 8226.297,
      "target_votes": 6745.0,
      "votes_delta": -1481.297,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -18.00685,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.157059,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.41544,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.741619
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "465305",
      "municipality_name": "徳之島町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tokunoshima-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1099.286,
      "target_votes": 899.0,
      "votes_delta": -200.286,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -18.219644,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.698451,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.606737,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -5.091714
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "462217",
      "municipality_name": "志布志市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shibushi-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2553.827,
      "target_votes": 2084.0,
      "votes_delta": -469.827,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -18.396978,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.347598,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.383648,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.96395
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "465011",
      "municipality_name": "中種子町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nakatane-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 696.231,
      "target_votes": 566.0,
      "votes_delta": -130.231,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -18.705142,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.690765,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 14.758801,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.931964
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "465232",
      "municipality_name": "大和村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yamato-son",
      "baseline_votes": 236.354,
      "target_votes": 192.0,
      "votes_delta": -44.354,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -18.765919,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 27.57923,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.482435,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -5.096795
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "464821",
      "municipality_name": "東串良町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Higashikushira-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 497.52,
      "target_votes": 400.0,
      "votes_delta": -97.52,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -19.601222,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.973988,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 14.919806,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.054182
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "462187",
      "municipality_name": "霧島市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kirishima-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 11149.858,
      "target_votes": 8920.0,
      "votes_delta": -2229.858,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -19.998981,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.242657,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.8933,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.349357
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "462136",
      "municipality_name": "西之表市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nishinoomote-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1384.961,
      "target_votes": 1107.0,
      "votes_delta": -277.961,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -20.069951,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.290715,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.160584,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -5.130131
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "464929",
      "municipality_name": "肝付町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kimotsuki-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1712.638,
      "target_votes": 1350.0,
      "votes_delta": -362.638,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -21.174235,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.123046,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.6,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.523046
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
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}
