{
  "schema_version": "jp-election-municipality-proportional-swing-graph.v1",
  "dataset_id": "jp-election-db.derived-shape.graph",
  "family": "graph",
  "dataset": "municipality-proportional-swing-2025-2026",
  "source_release_version": "2026-05-03-v050",
  "selector": {
    "prefecture_code": "33",
    "prefecture_name": "岡山県",
    "prefecture_name_en": "Okayama",
    "party_id": "CDR_TJU",
    "party_label": "中道+ゆうこく（2025=公明+立憲）",
    "party_label_en": "Centrist + Yukoku bloc (2025=Komeito+CDP)",
    "scope": "prefecture",
    "ranking_id": "",
    "ranking_label": "",
    "ranking_label_en": ""
  },
  "comparison": {
    "comparison_key": "20250720_hc_pr__20260208_hr_block",
    "baseline_election_set_key": "20250720_hc",
    "baseline_election_date": "2025-07-20",
    "baseline_vote_system": "pr",
    "target_election_set_key": "20260208_hr",
    "target_election_date": "2026-02-08",
    "target_vote_system": "block"
  },
  "metric": {
    "primary_metric_id": "votes_change_rate_pct",
    "primary_metric_label": "票数増減率",
    "secondary_metric_id": "votes_delta",
    "secondary_metric_label": "票数差"
  },
  "summary": {
    "point_grain": "municipality",
    "point_count": 31,
    "municipality_count": 31,
    "min_votes_change_rate_pct": -23.300006,
    "max_votes_change_rate_pct": 1.770272
  },
  "municipalities": [
    {
      "prefecture_code": "33",
      "prefecture_name": "岡山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okayama",
      "jis_code": "332127",
      "municipality_name": "瀬戸内市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Setouchi-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 4071.916,
      "target_votes": 4144.0,
      "votes_delta": 72.084,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 1.770272,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.274136,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.280776,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.99336
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "33",
      "prefecture_name": "岡山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okayama",
      "jis_code": "336815",
      "municipality_name": "吉備中央町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kibichuo-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1069.895,
      "target_votes": 1030.0,
      "votes_delta": -39.895,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -3.728871,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.628913,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.575199,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.053714
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "33",
      "prefecture_name": "岡山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okayama",
      "jis_code": "332046",
      "municipality_name": "玉野市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tamano-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 7508.278,
      "target_votes": 7151.0,
      "votes_delta": -357.278,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -4.758455,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 29.388907,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 27.60471,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.784197
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "33",
      "prefecture_name": "岡山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okayama",
      "jis_code": "331031",
      "municipality_name": "岡山市東区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Higashi-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 10847.553,
      "target_votes": 10138.0,
      "votes_delta": -709.553,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -6.541134,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.566303,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.350704,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.215599
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "33",
      "prefecture_name": "岡山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okayama",
      "jis_code": "331023",
      "municipality_name": "岡山市中区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Naka-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 15513.951,
      "target_votes": 14366.0,
      "votes_delta": -1147.951,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -7.399475,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.554523,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.837612,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.716911
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "33",
      "prefecture_name": "岡山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okayama",
      "jis_code": "332135",
      "municipality_name": "赤磐市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Akaiwa-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 4843.523,
      "target_votes": 4451.0,
      "votes_delta": -392.523,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -8.10408,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.124614,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.556124,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.56849
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "33",
      "prefecture_name": "岡山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okayama",
      "jis_code": "331015",
      "municipality_name": "岡山市北区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kita-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 28159.529,
      "target_votes": 25584.0,
      "votes_delta": -2575.529,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -9.146208,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.433813,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.508216,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.925597
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "33",
      "prefecture_name": "岡山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okayama",
      "jis_code": "331007",
      "municipality_name": "岡山市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Okayama-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 72190.034,
      "target_votes": 65477.0,
      "votes_delta": -6713.034,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -9.299115,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.299735,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.155863,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.143872
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "33",
      "prefecture_name": "岡山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okayama",
      "jis_code": "332020",
      "municipality_name": "倉敷市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kurashiki-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 48391.719,
      "target_votes": 42819.0,
      "votes_delta": -5572.719,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -11.515853,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.518275,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.322823,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.195452
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "33",
      "prefecture_name": "岡山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okayama",
      "jis_code": "332038",
      "municipality_name": "津山市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tsuyama-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 10214.755,
      "target_votes": 9035.0,
      "votes_delta": -1179.755,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -11.549518,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.932888,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.93777,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.995118
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "33",
      "prefecture_name": "岡山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okayama",
      "jis_code": "334235",
      "municipality_name": "早島町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Hayashima-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1394.932,
      "target_votes": 1225.0,
      "votes_delta": -169.932,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -12.182099,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.634903,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.291536,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.343367
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "33",
      "prefecture_name": "岡山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okayama",
      "jis_code": "332119",
      "municipality_name": "備前市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Bizen-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3827.586,
      "target_votes": 3336.0,
      "votes_delta": -491.586,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -12.843239,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.275732,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.62155,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.654182
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "33",
      "prefecture_name": "岡山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okayama",
      "jis_code": "331040",
      "municipality_name": "岡山市南区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Minami-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 17669.001,
      "target_votes": 15389.0,
      "votes_delta": -2280.001,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -12.903961,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.623383,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.669888,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.953495
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "33",
      "prefecture_name": "岡山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okayama",
      "jis_code": "332070",
      "municipality_name": "井原市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ibara-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3255.289,
      "target_votes": 2806.0,
      "votes_delta": -449.289,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -13.801816,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.009997,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.273007,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.73699
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "33",
      "prefecture_name": "岡山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okayama",
      "jis_code": "332097",
      "municipality_name": "高梁市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Takahashi-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2569.117,
      "target_votes": 2211.0,
      "votes_delta": -358.117,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -13.939303,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.049709,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.115527,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.934182
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "33",
      "prefecture_name": "岡山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okayama",
      "jis_code": "333468",
      "municipality_name": "和気町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Wake-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1681.949,
      "target_votes": 1445.0,
      "votes_delta": -236.949,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -14.087764,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.317462,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.268454,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.049008
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "33",
      "prefecture_name": "岡山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okayama",
      "jis_code": "332151",
      "municipality_name": "美作市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Mimasaka-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3120.567,
      "target_votes": 2617.0,
      "votes_delta": -503.567,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -16.137035,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 27.027256,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.540523,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.486733
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "33",
      "prefecture_name": "岡山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okayama",
      "jis_code": "335860",
      "municipality_name": "新庄村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shinjo-son",
      "baseline_votes": 125.413,
      "target_votes": 105.0,
      "votes_delta": -20.413,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -16.276622,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 27.442669,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.076923,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.365746
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "33",
      "prefecture_name": "岡山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okayama",
      "jis_code": "336661",
      "municipality_name": "美咲町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Misaki-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1582.572,
      "target_votes": 1315.0,
      "votes_delta": -267.572,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -16.907414,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.306051,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.21659,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.089461
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "33",
      "prefecture_name": "岡山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okayama",
      "jis_code": "336637",
      "municipality_name": "久米南町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kumenan-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 487.704,
      "target_votes": 404.0,
      "votes_delta": -83.704,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -17.162869,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.135864,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.833088,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.302776
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "33",
      "prefecture_name": "岡山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okayama",
      "jis_code": "336068",
      "municipality_name": "鏡野町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kagamino-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1341.871,
      "target_votes": 1110.0,
      "votes_delta": -231.871,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -17.279679,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.887106,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.996397,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.890709
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "33",
      "prefecture_name": "岡山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okayama",
      "jis_code": "334618",
      "municipality_name": "矢掛町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yakage-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1232.427,
      "target_votes": 1017.0,
      "votes_delta": -215.427,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -17.479899,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.078641,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.358372,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.720269
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "33",
      "prefecture_name": "岡山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okayama",
      "jis_code": "332143",
      "municipality_name": "真庭市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Maniwa-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 5073.72,
      "target_votes": 4110.0,
      "votes_delta": -963.72,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -18.994347,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.572326,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.844273,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.728053
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "33",
      "prefecture_name": "岡山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okayama",
      "jis_code": "332160",
      "municipality_name": "浅口市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Asakuchi-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3672.229,
      "target_votes": 2963.0,
      "votes_delta": -709.229,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -19.313311,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.304911,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.623816,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.681095
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "33",
      "prefecture_name": "岡山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okayama",
      "jis_code": "332089",
      "municipality_name": "総社市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Soja-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 6683.76,
      "target_votes": 5373.0,
      "votes_delta": -1310.76,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -19.611117,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.885982,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.581408,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.304574
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "33",
      "prefecture_name": "岡山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okayama",
      "jis_code": "336238",
      "municipality_name": "奈義町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nagi-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 669.228,
      "target_votes": 535.0,
      "votes_delta": -134.228,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -20.05714,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.220958,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.168756,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.052202
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "33",
      "prefecture_name": "岡山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okayama",
      "jis_code": "332100",
      "municipality_name": "新見市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Niimi-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3139.263,
      "target_votes": 2509.0,
      "votes_delta": -630.263,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -20.076782,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.812385,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.843404,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.968981
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "33",
      "prefecture_name": "岡山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okayama",
      "jis_code": "332054",
      "municipality_name": "笠岡市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kasaoka-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 5017.911,
      "target_votes": 3982.0,
      "votes_delta": -1035.911,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -20.644268,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.896607,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.110095,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.786512
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "33",
      "prefecture_name": "岡山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okayama",
      "jis_code": "336220",
      "municipality_name": "勝央町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shoo-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1387.873,
      "target_votes": 1074.0,
      "votes_delta": -313.873,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -22.615398,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 28.203068,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.032383,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -5.170685
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "33",
      "prefecture_name": "岡山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okayama",
      "jis_code": "336432",
      "municipality_name": "西粟倉村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nishiawakura-son",
      "baseline_votes": 185.603,
      "target_votes": 143.0,
      "votes_delta": -42.603,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -22.953832,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.747067,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.516499,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.230568
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "33",
      "prefecture_name": "岡山県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okayama",
      "jis_code": "334456",
      "municipality_name": "里庄町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Satosho-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1101.695,
      "target_votes": 845.0,
      "votes_delta": -256.695,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -23.300006,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.483911,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.174797,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.309114
    }
  ]
}
