{
  "schema_version": "jp-election-municipality-proportional-swing-graph.v1",
  "dataset_id": "jp-election-db.derived-shape.graph",
  "family": "graph",
  "dataset": "municipality-proportional-swing-2025-2026",
  "source_release_version": "2026-05-03-v050",
  "selector": {
    "prefecture_code": "10",
    "prefecture_name": "群馬県",
    "prefecture_name_en": "Gunma",
    "party_id": "CDR_TJU",
    "party_label": "中道+ゆうこく（2025=公明+立憲）",
    "party_label_en": "Centrist + Yukoku bloc (2025=Komeito+CDP)",
    "scope": "prefecture",
    "ranking_id": "",
    "ranking_label": "",
    "ranking_label_en": ""
  },
  "comparison": {
    "comparison_key": "20250720_hc_pr__20260208_hr_block",
    "baseline_election_set_key": "20250720_hc",
    "baseline_election_date": "2025-07-20",
    "baseline_vote_system": "pr",
    "target_election_set_key": "20260208_hr",
    "target_election_date": "2026-02-08",
    "target_vote_system": "block"
  },
  "metric": {
    "primary_metric_id": "votes_change_rate_pct",
    "primary_metric_label": "票数増減率",
    "secondary_metric_id": "votes_delta",
    "secondary_metric_label": "票数差"
  },
  "summary": {
    "point_grain": "municipality",
    "point_count": 35,
    "municipality_count": 35,
    "min_votes_change_rate_pct": -31.494325,
    "max_votes_change_rate_pct": 7.106782
  },
  "municipalities": [
    {
      "prefecture_code": "10",
      "prefecture_name": "群馬県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Gunma",
      "jis_code": "105236",
      "municipality_name": "千代田町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Chiyoda-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 1033.548,
      "target_votes": 1107.0,
      "votes_delta": 73.452,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 7.106782,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.536737,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.477157,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.94042
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "10",
      "prefecture_name": "群馬県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Gunma",
      "jis_code": "104264",
      "municipality_name": "草津町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kusatsu-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 668.3190000000001,
      "target_votes": 688.0,
      "votes_delta": 19.68099999999998,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 2.944851,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.179414,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.209524,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.03011
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "10",
      "prefecture_name": "群馬県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Gunma",
      "jis_code": "103667",
      "municipality_name": "上野村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ueno-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 126.727,
      "target_votes": 129.0,
      "votes_delta": 2.272999999999996,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 1.793619,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.556636,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.938176,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.38154
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "10",
      "prefecture_name": "群馬県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Gunma",
      "jis_code": "104256",
      "municipality_name": "嬬恋村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tsumagoi-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 907.2360000000001,
      "target_votes": 910.0,
      "votes_delta": 2.76399999999995,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 0.304662,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.025168,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.544673,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.480495
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "10",
      "prefecture_name": "群馬県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Gunma",
      "jis_code": "102059",
      "municipality_name": "太田市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ota-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 20792.326,
      "target_votes": 20553.0,
      "votes_delta": -239.326,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -1.15103,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.989425,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.792325,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.8029
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "10",
      "prefecture_name": "群馬県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Gunma",
      "jis_code": "102016",
      "municipality_name": "前橋市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Maebashi-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 29901.354,
      "target_votes": 29474.0,
      "votes_delta": -427.354,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -1.429213,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.031964,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.422238,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.390274
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "10",
      "prefecture_name": "群馬県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Gunma",
      "jis_code": "104493",
      "municipality_name": "みなかみ町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Minakami-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 1864.6270000000002,
      "target_votes": 1803.0,
      "votes_delta": -61.6270000000001,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -3.305058,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.656465,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.600575,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.05589
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "10",
      "prefecture_name": "群馬県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Gunma",
      "jis_code": "104485",
      "municipality_name": "昭和村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Showa-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 597.999,
      "target_votes": 571.0,
      "votes_delta": -26.999,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -4.51489,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.735941,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.827037,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.908904
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "10",
      "prefecture_name": "群馬県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Gunma",
      "jis_code": "103837",
      "municipality_name": "南牧村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nammoku-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 160.24,
      "target_votes": 152.0,
      "votes_delta": -8.24,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -5.142287,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.024747,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.19457,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.830177
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "10",
      "prefecture_name": "群馬県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Gunma",
      "jis_code": "105252",
      "municipality_name": "邑楽町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ora-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 2993.081,
      "target_votes": 2822.0,
      "votes_delta": -171.0810000000001,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -5.715883,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.62833,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.706317,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.922013
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "10",
      "prefecture_name": "群馬県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Gunma",
      "jis_code": "102075",
      "municipality_name": "館林市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tatebayashi-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 7057.610000000001,
      "target_votes": 6643.0,
      "votes_delta": -414.6100000000002,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -5.874652,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.941211,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.189793,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.751418
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "10",
      "prefecture_name": "群馬県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Gunma",
      "jis_code": "105244",
      "municipality_name": "大泉町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Oizumi-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 3381.035,
      "target_votes": 3180.0,
      "votes_delta": -201.035,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -5.94596,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.623185,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.049646,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.573539
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "10",
      "prefecture_name": "群馬県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Gunma",
      "jis_code": "102067",
      "municipality_name": "沼田市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Numata-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 4009.246,
      "target_votes": 3735.0,
      "votes_delta": -274.2460000000003,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -6.840339,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.869533,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.145991,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.723542
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "10",
      "prefecture_name": "群馬県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Gunma",
      "jis_code": "104280",
      "municipality_name": "高山村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Takayama-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 340.431,
      "target_votes": 317.0,
      "votes_delta": -23.431,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -6.882746,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.569849,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.027611,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.542238
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "10",
      "prefecture_name": "群馬県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Gunma",
      "jis_code": "103845",
      "municipality_name": "甘楽町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kanra-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 1198.125,
      "target_votes": 1114.0,
      "votes_delta": -84.125,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -7.021388,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.965423,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.005495,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.959928
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "10",
      "prefecture_name": "群馬県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Gunma",
      "jis_code": "104442",
      "municipality_name": "川場村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kawaba-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 309.723,
      "target_votes": 284.0,
      "votes_delta": -25.723,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -8.305163,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.689955,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.772215,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.91774
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "10",
      "prefecture_name": "群馬県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Gunma",
      "jis_code": "102113",
      "municipality_name": "安中市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Annaka-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 5495.281,
      "target_votes": 5004.0,
      "votes_delta": -491.281,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -8.940052,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.490286,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.850841,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.639445
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "10",
      "prefecture_name": "群馬県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Gunma",
      "jis_code": "105228",
      "municipality_name": "明和町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Meiwa-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 1372.258,
      "target_votes": 1239.0,
      "votes_delta": -133.258,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -9.710856,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.202167,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.746466,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.455701
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "10",
      "prefecture_name": "群馬県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Gunma",
      "jis_code": "105210",
      "municipality_name": "板倉町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Itakura-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 1494.822,
      "target_votes": 1348.0,
      "votes_delta": -146.822,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -9.822039,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.926717,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.624235,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.302482
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "10",
      "prefecture_name": "群馬県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Gunma",
      "jis_code": "104248",
      "municipality_name": "長野原町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Naganohara-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 633.857,
      "target_votes": 569.0,
      "votes_delta": -64.857,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -10.232119,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.320714,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.113114,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.2076
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "10",
      "prefecture_name": "群馬県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Gunma",
      "jis_code": "102105",
      "municipality_name": "富岡市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tomioka-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3784.8430000000003,
      "target_votes": 3330.0,
      "votes_delta": -454.8430000000003,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -12.017487,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.000216,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.631705,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.368511
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "10",
      "prefecture_name": "群馬県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Gunma",
      "jis_code": "104213",
      "municipality_name": "中之条町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nakanojo-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 1801.488,
      "target_votes": 1577.0,
      "votes_delta": -224.488,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -12.461254,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.694482,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.433148,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.261334
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "10",
      "prefecture_name": "群馬県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Gunma",
      "jis_code": "102083",
      "municipality_name": "渋川市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shibukawa-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 6429.593,
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      "votes_delta": -827.5930000000003,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -12.871623,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.417889,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.498828,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.919061
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "10",
      "prefecture_name": "群馬県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Gunma",
      "jis_code": "102091",
      "municipality_name": "藤岡市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Fujioka-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 6556.861000000001,
      "target_votes": 5653.0,
      "votes_delta": -903.8610000000004,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -13.784965,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.692811,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.174875,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.517936
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    {
      "prefecture_code": "10",
      "prefecture_name": "群馬県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Gunma",
      "jis_code": "102032",
      "municipality_name": "桐生市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kiryu-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 9837.031,
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      "votes_delta": -1358.031000000001,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -13.805293,
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      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.745698,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.21
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    {
      "prefecture_code": "10",
      "prefecture_name": "群馬県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Gunma",
      "jis_code": "102121",
      "municipality_name": "みどり市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Midori-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 4412.85,
      "target_votes": 3785.0,
      "votes_delta": -627.85,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -14.227767,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.098972,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.855235,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.243737
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "10",
      "prefecture_name": "群馬県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Gunma",
      "jis_code": "102040",
      "municipality_name": "伊勢崎市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Isesaki-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 16776.987,
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      "votes_delta": -2408.987000000002,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -14.358877,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.869001,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.090519,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.778482
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "10",
      "prefecture_name": "群馬県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Gunma",
      "jis_code": "103446",
      "municipality_name": "榛東村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shinto-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 1215.13,
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      "votes_delta": -180.13,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -14.823928,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.864305,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 15.857208,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.007097
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    {
      "prefecture_code": "10",
      "prefecture_name": "群馬県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Gunma",
      "jis_code": "103829",
      "municipality_name": "下仁田町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shimonita-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 627.001,
      "target_votes": 534.0,
      "votes_delta": -93.00100000000003,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -14.832672,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.051199,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.066155,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.985044
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "10",
      "prefecture_name": "群馬県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Gunma",
      "jis_code": "104647",
      "municipality_name": "玉村町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tamamura-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 3675.842,
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      "votes_delta": -610.842,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -16.617744,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.002766,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.718219,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.284547
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "10",
      "prefecture_name": "群馬県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Gunma",
      "jis_code": "104299",
      "municipality_name": "東吾妻町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Higashiagatsuma-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 1552.468,
      "target_votes": 1288.0,
      "votes_delta": -264.4680000000001,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -17.035327,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.463725,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.235365,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -5.22836
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "10",
      "prefecture_name": "群馬県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Gunma",
      "jis_code": "104434",
      "municipality_name": "片品村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Katashina-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 403.27200000000005,
      "target_votes": 329.0,
      "votes_delta": -74.27200000000002,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -18.417346,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.949194,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.126496,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.822698
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "10",
      "prefecture_name": "群馬県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Gunma",
      "jis_code": "103454",
      "municipality_name": "吉岡町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yoshioka-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 1995.578,
      "target_votes": 1541.0,
      "votes_delta": -454.578,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -22.779265,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.715254,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.200588,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.514666
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "10",
      "prefecture_name": "群馬県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Gunma",
      "jis_code": "103675",
      "municipality_name": "神流町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kanna-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 268.202,
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      "votes_delta": -71.202,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -26.5479,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 27.091111,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.739479,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -7.351632
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "10",
      "prefecture_name": "群馬県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Gunma",
      "jis_code": "102024",
      "municipality_name": "高崎市第2",
      "municipality_name_en": "Takasaki-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 35799.954,
      "target_votes": 24525.0,
      "votes_delta": -11274.954,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -31.494325,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.729563,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.723661,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.005902
    }
  ]
}
