{
  "schema_version": "jp-election-municipality-proportional-swing-graph.v1",
  "dataset_id": "jp-election-db.derived-shape.graph",
  "family": "graph",
  "dataset": "municipality-proportional-swing-2025-2026",
  "source_release_version": "2026-05-03-v050",
  "selector": {
    "prefecture_code": "09",
    "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
    "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
    "party_id": "JHP",
    "party_label": "保守",
    "party_label_en": "Japan Conservative Party",
    "scope": "prefecture",
    "ranking_id": "",
    "ranking_label": "",
    "ranking_label_en": ""
  },
  "comparison": {
    "comparison_key": "20250720_hc_pr__20260208_hr_block",
    "baseline_election_set_key": "20250720_hc",
    "baseline_election_date": "2025-07-20",
    "baseline_vote_system": "pr",
    "target_election_set_key": "20260208_hr",
    "target_election_date": "2026-02-08",
    "target_vote_system": "block"
  },
  "metric": {
    "primary_metric_id": "votes_change_rate_pct",
    "primary_metric_label": "票数増減率",
    "secondary_metric_id": "votes_delta",
    "secondary_metric_label": "票数差"
  },
  "summary": {
    "point_grain": "municipality",
    "point_count": 25,
    "municipality_count": 25,
    "min_votes_change_rate_pct": -56.849315,
    "max_votes_change_rate_pct": -41.875
  },
  "municipalities": [
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "093645",
      "municipality_name": "野木町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nogi-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 480.0,
      "target_votes": 279.0,
      "votes_delta": -201.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -41.875,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.133299,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.465536,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.667763
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "093840",
      "municipality_name": "塩谷町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shioya-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 123.0,
      "target_votes": 71.0,
      "votes_delta": -52.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -42.276423,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.821748,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.581644,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.240104
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092142",
      "municipality_name": "さくら市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Sakura-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 728.0,
      "target_votes": 412.0,
      "votes_delta": -316.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -43.406593,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.875845,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.196513,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.679332
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "093459",
      "municipality_name": "芳賀町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Haga-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 243.0,
      "target_votes": 137.0,
      "votes_delta": -106.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -43.621399,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.294915,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.862932,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.431983
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092150",
      "municipality_name": "那須烏山市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nasukarasuyama-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 330.0,
      "target_votes": 186.0,
      "votes_delta": -144.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -43.636364,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.979953,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.521597,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.458356
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092134",
      "municipality_name": "那須塩原市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nasushiobara-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1880.0,
      "target_votes": 1054.0,
      "votes_delta": -826.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -43.93617,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.914709,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.019854,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.894855
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092037",
      "municipality_name": "栃木市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tochigi-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2494.0,
      "target_votes": 1372.0,
      "votes_delta": -1122.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -44.987971,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.777243,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.185862,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.591381
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092029",
      "municipality_name": "足利市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ashikaga-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2349.0,
      "target_votes": 1289.0,
      "votes_delta": -1060.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -45.125585,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.177188,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.300923,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.876265
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "094072",
      "municipality_name": "那須町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nasu-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 369.0,
      "target_votes": 201.0,
      "votes_delta": -168.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -45.528455,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.263465,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.626345,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.63712
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092169",
      "municipality_name": "下野市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shimotsuke-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1147.0,
      "target_votes": 613.0,
      "votes_delta": -534.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -46.556234,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.178811,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.30833,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.870481
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "093610",
      "municipality_name": "壬生町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Mibu-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 649.0,
      "target_votes": 344.0,
      "votes_delta": -305.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -46.995378,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.833658,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.075916,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.757742
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092100",
      "municipality_name": "大田原市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ohtawara-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1058.0,
      "target_votes": 549.0,
      "votes_delta": -509.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -48.109641,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.662294,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.725547,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.936747
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "094110",
      "municipality_name": "那珂川町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nakagawa-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 195.0,
      "target_votes": 101.0,
      "votes_delta": -94.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -48.205128,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.952756,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.354069,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.598687
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092118",
      "municipality_name": "矢板市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yaita-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 511.0,
      "target_votes": 261.0,
      "votes_delta": -250.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -48.923679,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.751009,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.791229,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.95978
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "093866",
      "municipality_name": "高根沢町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Takanezawa-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 514.0,
      "target_votes": 262.0,
      "votes_delta": -252.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -49.027237,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.607018,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.026452,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.580566
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092045",
      "municipality_name": "佐野市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Sano-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2062.0,
      "target_votes": 1048.0,
      "votes_delta": -1014.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -49.175558,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.359777,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.244736,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.115041
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092096",
      "municipality_name": "真岡市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Moka-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1235.0,
      "target_votes": 627.0,
      "votes_delta": -608.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -49.230769,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.883648,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.877302,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.006346
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092053",
      "municipality_name": "鹿沼市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kanuma-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1456.0,
      "target_votes": 737.0,
      "votes_delta": -719.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -49.381868,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.608247,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.869704,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.738543
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "093424",
      "municipality_name": "益子町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Mashiko-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 314.0,
      "target_votes": 158.0,
      "votes_delta": -156.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -49.681529,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.077526,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.511528,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.565998
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092088",
      "municipality_name": "小山市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Oyama-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3341.0,
      "target_votes": 1673.0,
      "votes_delta": -1668.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -49.925172,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.692482,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.384822,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.30766
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "093017",
      "municipality_name": "上三川町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kaminokawa-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 552.0,
      "target_votes": 273.0,
      "votes_delta": -279.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -50.543478,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.014254,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.171665,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.842589
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092061",
      "municipality_name": "日光市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nikko-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1048.825,
      "target_votes": 513.0,
      "votes_delta": -535.825,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -51.088122,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.182694,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.523476,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.659218
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "093440",
      "municipality_name": "市貝町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ichikai-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 182.0,
      "target_votes": 87.0,
      "votes_delta": -95.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -52.197802,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.442406,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.624347,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.818059
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092010",
      "municipality_name": "宇都宮市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Utsunomiya-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 10310.0,
      "target_votes": 4619.0,
      "votes_delta": -5691.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -55.198836,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.538112,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.319532,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.21858
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "093432",
      "municipality_name": "茂木町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Motegi-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 146.0,
      "target_votes": 63.0,
      "votes_delta": -83.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -56.849315,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.462473,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.058824,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.403649
    }
  ]
}
