{
  "schema_version": "jp-election-municipality-proportional-swing-graph.v1",
  "dataset_id": "jp-election-db.derived-shape.graph",
  "family": "graph",
  "dataset": "municipality-proportional-swing-2025-2026",
  "source_release_version": "2026-05-03-v050",
  "selector": {
    "prefecture_code": "09",
    "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
    "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
    "party_id": "ISH",
    "party_label": "維新",
    "party_label_en": "Japan Innovation Party (Ishin)",
    "scope": "prefecture",
    "ranking_id": "",
    "ranking_label": "",
    "ranking_label_en": ""
  },
  "comparison": {
    "comparison_key": "20250720_hc_pr__20260208_hr_block",
    "baseline_election_set_key": "20250720_hc",
    "baseline_election_date": "2025-07-20",
    "baseline_vote_system": "pr",
    "target_election_set_key": "20260208_hr",
    "target_election_date": "2026-02-08",
    "target_vote_system": "block"
  },
  "metric": {
    "primary_metric_id": "votes_change_rate_pct",
    "primary_metric_label": "票数増減率",
    "secondary_metric_id": "votes_delta",
    "secondary_metric_label": "票数差"
  },
  "summary": {
    "point_grain": "municipality",
    "point_count": 25,
    "municipality_count": 25,
    "min_votes_change_rate_pct": 12.200957,
    "max_votes_change_rate_pct": 79.069767
  },
  "municipalities": [
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092150",
      "municipality_name": "那須烏山市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nasukarasuyama-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 301.0,
      "target_votes": 539.0,
      "votes_delta": 238.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 79.069767,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.718078,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.409359,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.691281
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "094110",
      "municipality_name": "那珂川町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nakagawa-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 164.0,
      "target_votes": 293.0,
      "votes_delta": 129.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 78.658537,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.483343,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.928141,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.444798
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "093017",
      "municipality_name": "上三川町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kaminokawa-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 514.0,
      "target_votes": 913.0,
      "votes_delta": 399.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 77.626459,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.73791,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.262748,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 3.524838
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092010",
      "municipality_name": "宇都宮市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Utsunomiya-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 10137.746,
      "target_votes": 16962.0,
      "votes_delta": 6824.254,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 67.315299,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.462291,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.51784,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 4.055549
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092100",
      "municipality_name": "大田原市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ohtawara-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 906.0,
      "target_votes": 1412.0,
      "votes_delta": 506.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 55.84989,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.136142,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.438019,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.301877
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092134",
      "municipality_name": "那須塩原市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nasushiobara-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1751.823,
      "target_votes": 2517.0,
      "votes_delta": 765.177,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 43.678899,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.647807,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.823502,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.175695
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "094072",
      "municipality_name": "那須町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nasu-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 363.0,
      "target_votes": 520.0,
      "votes_delta": 157.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 43.250689,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.210401,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.20746,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.997059
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092118",
      "municipality_name": "矢板市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yaita-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 504.0,
      "target_votes": 687.0,
      "votes_delta": 183.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 36.309524,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.699626,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.714845,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.015219
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092045",
      "municipality_name": "佐野市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Sano-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1699.0,
      "target_votes": 2303.0,
      "votes_delta": 604.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 35.550324,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.59227,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.932851,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.340581
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092029",
      "municipality_name": "足利市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ashikaga-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1894.75,
      "target_votes": 2560.0,
      "votes_delta": 665.25,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 35.110173,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.369403,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.569715,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.200312
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "093840",
      "municipality_name": "塩谷町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shioya-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 101.0,
      "target_votes": 136.0,
      "votes_delta": 35.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 34.653465,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.317045,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.029628,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.712583
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "093432",
      "municipality_name": "茂木町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Motegi-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 139.0,
      "target_votes": 187.0,
      "votes_delta": 48.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 34.532374,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.344409,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.142857,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.798448
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "093459",
      "municipality_name": "芳賀町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Haga-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 234.0,
      "target_votes": 311.0,
      "votes_delta": 77.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 32.905983,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.172881,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.228991,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.05611
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "093866",
      "municipality_name": "高根沢町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Takanezawa-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 497.0,
      "target_votes": 646.0,
      "votes_delta": 149.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 29.979879,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.487719,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.996519,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.5088
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092096",
      "municipality_name": "真岡市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Moka-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1037.0,
      "target_votes": 1340.0,
      "votes_delta": 303.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 29.218901,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.261006,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.012096,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.75109
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092142",
      "municipality_name": "さくら市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Sakura-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 650.0,
      "target_votes": 836.0,
      "votes_delta": 186.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 28.615385,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.460576,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.457003,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.996427
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092037",
      "municipality_name": "栃木市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tochigi-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2053.916,
      "target_votes": 2608.0,
      "votes_delta": 554.084,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 26.976955,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.110721,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.15505,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.044329
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092061",
      "municipality_name": "日光市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nikko-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1009.0,
      "target_votes": 1279.0,
      "votes_delta": 270.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 26.759167,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.061844,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.798295,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.736451
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "093610",
      "municipality_name": "壬生町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Mibu-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 556.0,
      "target_votes": 684.0,
      "votes_delta": 128.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 23.021583,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.284305,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.127693,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.843388
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092053",
      "municipality_name": "鹿沼市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kanuma-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1253.0,
      "target_votes": 1535.0,
      "votes_delta": 282.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 22.505986,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.105174,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.89416,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.788986
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092169",
      "municipality_name": "下野市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shimotsuke-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1032.0,
      "target_votes": 1253.0,
      "votes_delta": 221.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 21.414729,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.759837,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.718331,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.958494
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "093424",
      "municipality_name": "益子町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Mashiko-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 303.0,
      "target_votes": 367.0,
      "votes_delta": 64.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 21.122112,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.969715,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.510954,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.541239
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "093440",
      "municipality_name": "市貝町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ichikai-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 163.0,
      "target_votes": 190.0,
      "votes_delta": 27.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 16.564417,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.083034,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.547423,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.464389
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "092088",
      "municipality_name": "小山市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Oyama-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2555.0,
      "target_votes": 2918.0,
      "votes_delta": 363.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 14.207436,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.588534,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.159539,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.571005
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "09",
      "prefecture_name": "栃木県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tochigi",
      "jis_code": "093645",
      "municipality_name": "野木町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nogi-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 418.0,
      "target_votes": 469.0,
      "votes_delta": 51.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 12.200957,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.599414,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.144574,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.54516
    }
  ]
}
